Weekly Supply Chain Update: 33

Container Freight
Far East Westbound (FEWB)
- Bookings for late February and early March have been stable, with minimal impact from the General Rate Increase (GRI). Volume remains at 75%-85% of pre-CNY levels, and early March blank sailings have had little effect on capacity. Congestion has eased at most destinations, though Route to Market (RTM) is still experiencing anchor berth delays. A Belgium rail strike on February 13 could affect vessel call efficiency. Despite flat demand, carriers are still announcing GRIs for March, hoping to raise rates even without sufficient market support.
Trans-Pacific Eastbound (TPEB)
- Capacity has rebounded to over 90% following the Chinese New Year (CNY), and demand is gradually increasing, although it has not yet reached pre-CNY levels. Floating rates are declining rapidly into March, and General Rate Increases (GRIs) are unlikely. Equipment availability has improved, easing previous bottlenecks at most Asian gateways, signaling the normalisation of logistical challenges post-CNY.
Trans-Atlantic Westbound (TAWB)
- Blank sailings are decreasing, and stable capacity is expected in March. Utilization is strong in North and South Europe, with fewer signs of overbooking, which had been previously caused by U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum. Carriers have postponed the March Peak Season Surcharge (PSS) to April, with some implementing it for the U.S. East Coast and Gulf. Equipment shortages remain in parts of Central Europe, but Southern European ports are not facing any significant issues.
Bulk
Panamax
- The Panamax market stayed strong, with steady demand in the North Atlantic and increased activity in the South Atlantic, driving improved sentiment and better negotiations. The Pacific market gained further strength due to a balanced vessel supply and demand, with strong interest in grain and mineral cargoes. Market sentiment remains optimistic, and period activity is on the rise.
Supramax
- The Atlantic Supramax sector saw steady activity, though some stabilization occurred in the US Gulf with fewer fresh inquiries. The Mediterranean remained stable, and the South Atlantic stayed balanced with opportunities. Asia continued its positive momentum, supported by strong demand and higher rates, with increased backhaul business contributing to market stability.
Handysize
- The Handysize market stayed firm, with stable demand across the North and South Atlantic, and slight improvements in the Continent and Mediterranean. In the Pacific, activity increased in North China and Southeast Asia, with tighter vessel supply and healthy demand supporting firmer rates. Period interest also rose, reflecting longer-term stability.
Other Related News
The Trump-Zelensky Meeting: A Turning Point in Geopolitics
The meeting between Ukrainian President Zelensky and former President Trump marks a pivotal moment in global geopolitics, reminiscent of the fall of the Berlin Wall or the 9/11 attacks. It highlighted a dramatic shift in U.S. foreign policy, showing that the current administration may have abandoned principles upheld for decades. Trust in U.S. commitments is now in question, with the U.S. seemingly willing to side with aggressors unless the victim offers profit-driven engagement and subservience. The lack of clear agreements from this meeting raises concerns about future U.S. support for Ukraine and its impact on international diplomacy. Going forward, this may reshape global alliances and the U.S.’s role in future conflicts.
US Proposes Tariffs on EU Imports and Chinese Shipping, Impacting Global Trade and Shipping Costs
- In recent developments, President Donald Trump has threatened the imposition of 25% tariffs on imports from the European Union, which is the U.S.'s third-largest trading partner, alongside China. This move is part of ongoing efforts to address trade imbalances. Meanwhile, the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) has proposed new tariffs on Chinese shipping companies and vessels built in China entering U.S. ports. U.S.-built vessels may benefit from a refund of up to $1 million per port call, which could incentivise the use of U.S.-constructed ships. However, with China producing a significant majority of the world's green ships, and a limited number of container vessels built in the U.S., this could impact global shipping costs. The proposal suggests that Chinese-built vessels may face an additional burden of over $3 million per trip, which would increase operating expenses considerably. While these proposals are still under discussion, it’s unclear how they will play out and what long-term impact they will have on shipping costs and international trade dynamics.
Missile Strike on Odessa Damages Two Vessels, Unverified Claims of Arms Cargo
- A Russian missile strike on the port of Odessa recently damaged two vessels: the bulk carrier Super Sarkas, which was carrying grain, and the 1100 TEU container ship MSC Levante F, operated by MSC on their Ukraine shuttle between Tekirdag and Odessa. Russian bloggers on Telegram have claimed that the MSC Levante F was carrying UK weapons for Ukraine and was hit by two missiles, causing it to sink. However, these claims are currently only sourced from these bloggers and have been picked up by mainstream media. As of now, this information is unverified and should not be considered fully credible regarding the extent of the damage or the vessel's cargo.
Gaza Ceasefire Phase 1 Expired, No Agreement on Phase 2, Houthi Response Uncertain
- Phase 1 of the Gaza ceasefire has expired, and there is currently no agreement on a Phase 2 or an extension of Phase 1. Israel has halted the entry of all humanitarian aid into Gaza. Israel seeks an extension of Phase 1, while Hamas is pushing for an agreement on Phase 2. Yemeni news outlets, reflecting the Houthi perspective, are calling this a ceasefire violation. However, there has been no official statement from the Houthis regarding whether they might resume targeting merchant vessels.
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